Trump out as President before 2027?

<p>This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.</p><p>An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.</p><p>Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.</p><p>A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.</p><p>The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.</p>

136d 16h left
Yes
No93¢
Total Vol$5K

Price History

No price history available

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JD Vance
YES 50%NO 50%
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JD Vance

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YES 50%NO 50%
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Gavin Newsom

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Marco Rubio
YES 50%NO 50%
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Marco Rubio

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Donald Trump
YES 50%NO 50%
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Donald Trump

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Kamala Harris
YES 50%NO 50%
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Kamala Harris

VOL$3K
Gavin Newsom
YES 21%NO 80%
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Gavin Newsom

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Naftali Bennett
YES 10%NO 91%
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Naftali Bennett

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Marco Rubio
YES 27%NO 73%
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Marco Rubio

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Donald Trump
YES 2%NO 98%
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Donald Trump

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Ted Cruz
YES 1%NO 99%
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Ted Cruz

VOL$6K
Other
YES 50%NO 50%
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Other

VOL$1K
Other
YES 50%NO 50%
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Other

VOL$2K
summaryMarket Summary

Priced at 8% to leave office before 2027

The Trump administration continues to make headlines with various policy moves and controversies, but the market for Trump's departure before 2027 remains stable at 8%. Recent news includes the administration's efforts to overhaul the Head Start program, its handling of environmental issues, and its impact on the Republican Party. Despite these developments, there is no significant change in the market's expectations for Trump's tenure. The administration's actions and policies continue to be closely watched, but the market remains skeptical about his early departure.

Priced at 8% to leave office before 2027

The Trump administration continues to make headlines with various policy moves and controversies, but the market remains steady with an 8% chance of Trump leaving office before 2027. Recent news includes the administration's efforts to overhaul the Head Start program, its handling of crypto regulations, and its impact on the environment. Despite these developments, there has been no significant shift in the market odds. The administration's actions and policies continue to be closely watched, but for now, the market remains unchanged.

Priced at 8% to leave office before 2027

Donald Trump remains in office with no significant changes in his odds of leaving before 2027, currently priced at 8%. Recent news has focused on various aspects of his administration, including environmental policies, diplomatic efforts, and economic decisions. The Trump administration has been active in shaping policies, such as overhauling the Head Start program and targeting offshore wind farms. However, none of these developments have significantly impacted the odds of him leaving office early. The market volume and large trades have been quiet, indicating a stable outlook for now.

Priced at 8% to leave office before 2027

The Trump administration continues to make headlines, with recent developments including a proposed overhaul of the Head Start program and a bipartisan ethics proposal that could save Trump millions in taxes. Despite these stories, the odds of Trump leaving office before 2027 remain low, at 8%. The administration's actions and policies, such as its handling of coal plants and environmental regulations, have been the subject of controversy and criticism. However, there is currently no indication of a significant shift in Trump's position or a clear threat to his presidency.

Priced at 8% to leave office before 2027

Donald Trump remains in office with no significant changes in his odds of leaving before 2027, currently standing at 8%. Recent news has focused on various aspects of his administration and personal engagements, including his handling of crypto regulations, environmental policies, and international relations. However, none of these developments have impacted his odds of leaving office. The Trump administration continues to make headlines with its policies and actions, but the market remains stable in its assessment of his tenure.

Priced at 8% to leave office before 2027

Donald Trump remains in office with no significant changes in his odds of leaving before 2027, currently standing at 8%. Recent news has focused on various aspects of his administration and personal life, including his handling of environmental policies, international relations, and economic matters. The Trump administration has been involved in several controversies, including the use of a sneaky tactic to let industries foul the air and plans to overhaul the Head Start program. Despite these developments, there has been no notable shift in the odds of him leaving office early. Trump's influence extends beyond politics, with his golf course hosting LIV Golf New York and his media company making changes to its business ventures.

Priced at 8% to leave office before 2027

Donald Trump remains in office with no significant changes in his odds of leaving before 2027, currently standing at 8%. Recent news has focused on various aspects of his administration and personal engagements, including his interactions with Olympians, his administration's policies on coal plants, and his handling of international relations. However, none of these developments have impacted his odds of leaving office early. The market volume and large trades have not shown any notable activity in the last 24 hours.

Priced at 8% to leave office before 2027

Donald Trump remains in office with no significant changes in his odds of leaving before 2027, currently standing at 8%. Recent news has focused on various aspects of his administration and personal engagements, including his handling of environmental policies, international relations, and domestic programs. However, none of these developments have impacted his odds of leaving office early. The Trump administration continues to make headlines with its policies and actions, but the market reflects a stable outlook on his tenure. Trump's interactions with athletes, his administration's stance on crypto regulations, and bipartisan efforts on legislation have been among the recent highlights, yet they have not influenced the market's perception of his likelihood to leave office before 2027.

Priced at 8% to leave office before 2027

Donald Trump remains in office with no significant changes in his odds of leaving before 2027, currently priced at 8%. Recent news has focused on various aspects of his administration, including its environmental policies and handling of international relations. The Trump administration has been taking steps to overhaul certain programs, such as Head Start, and has been involved in diplomatic efforts, including those related to Iran. Despite these developments, there has been no notable shift in the odds of Trump leaving office early. The administration's actions and policies continue to be subject to scrutiny and debate.

Priced at 8% to leave office before 2027

Donald Trump remains in office with no significant changes in his odds of leaving before 2027, currently standing at 8%. Recent news has focused on various aspects of his administration and personal engagements, including his interactions with Olympians, his administration's policies on coal plants, and his handling of international relations. However, none of these developments have impacted his odds of leaving office. The market volume and large trades have not shown any notable activity in the last 24 hours.

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