Odds to announce end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026, drop 13 pts to 71%
The US announcing an end to the Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026, is currently priced at 71%, following a 13-point drop in odds. This shift comes as diplomatic efforts to ease tensions between the US and Iran gather pace. Despite the decrease, the odds still suggest a likelihood of the blockade ending by the specified date. The 24-hour volume for this market stands at $56,000, indicating ongoing interest in the outcome.
Odds to announce end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026, drop 18 pts to 67%
The US announcing an end to the Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026, is currently priced at 67%, following a significant 18-point drop in odds. This shift comes as diplomatic efforts to ease tensions between the US and Iran gather pace. Despite the decrease in odds, the market still favors an announcement by the given deadline, with $66k in volume traded over the past 24 hours. The situation remains fluid, with various factors influencing the potential outcome.
Priced at 81% to announce end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026
The US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026, is currently priced at 81% after a 2-point drop in the last 24 hours. With $39k in 24-hour volume, the market remains active. Diplomatic efforts to ease tensions between the United States and Iran are ongoing, which may impact the blockade's status. The current odds reflect the market's assessment of the situation, with no large trades over $100k reported in the last 24 hours.
Odds to announce end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026, currently at 81%, down 6 pts in 24h
The US announcing an end to the Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026, is currently priced at 81%, a 6-point decrease over the last 24 hours. This shift in odds may reflect evolving diplomatic efforts between the US and Iran. With $46k in 24-hour volume, the market is actively speculating on the likelihood of this event. Despite the decrease, the odds still favor an announcement, indicating a strong belief in a resolution by the specified deadline.
Priced at 82% to announce end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026
The US announcing an end to the Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026, is currently priced at 82%, with a 3-point decrease in odds over the past 24 hours. Despite this decrease, the market still favors the announcement happening, with $60,000 in volume traded in the last 24 hours. Diplomatic efforts to ease tensions between the US and Iran appear to be ongoing, which may be influencing the market's stance. The situation remains fluid, with various factors at play that could impact the likelihood of the announcement.
Priced at 83% to announce end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026
The US announcing an end to the Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026, is currently favored at 83%. Recent diplomatic efforts to ease tensions between the US and Iran may be contributing to the high odds. Despite a 2-point drop in the last 24 hours, the market remains bullish on the possibility of an announcement. The current volume of $60k in the last 24 hours suggests moderate interest in the market.
Priced at 84% to announce end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026
The US announcing the end of the Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026, is currently priced at 84%, with a 1-point decrease in odds over the past 24 hours. The market has seen $59k in volume over the same period. Diplomatic efforts to ease tensions between the United States and Iran are reportedly gathering pace, which may be influencing the market's stance. The situation remains uncertain, with no large trades exceeding $100k reported in the last 24 hours.
Priced at 85% to announce end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026
The United States is reportedly nearing a deal to end the Iranian blockade, with diplomatic efforts gathering pace. The current odds of an announcement by September 30, 2026, stand at 85%, having dropped 1 point in the last 24 hours. Trading volume has been moderate, with $44k exchanged in the past day. The potential end to the blockade has significant implications for global energy markets and geopolitics, with the US and Iran having previously been on the brink of conflict.
Odds to announce end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026, rise +4 pts to 89%
The United States and Iran may be nearing a deal to end the blockade, with diplomatic efforts gathering pace. The current odds of an announcement by September 30, 2026, stand at 89%, having increased by 4 percentage points. This development comes as European stocks are seen opening higher due to easing tensions between the US and Iran. The 24-hour volume for this market is $41,000.
Priced at 84% to announce end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026
The US announcing an end to the Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026, is currently favored at 84%. Diplomatic efforts to ease tensions between the US and Iran are ongoing, with reports suggesting a potential deal may be imminent. The situation remains fluid, with the US previously planning a significant bombing campaign against Iranian energy infrastructure targets. The current odds reflect a slight decrease of 1 percentage point over the past 24 hours, with $20k in volume traded.
