Odds to announce end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026, now at 85%, down 9 pts in 24h
The United States announcing the end of the Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026, is currently priced at 85%, a decrease of 9 percentage points over the past 24 hours. This shift in odds may reflect changing diplomatic efforts or geopolitical developments. With a 24-hour volume of $59,000, the market is actively speculating on the likelihood of this event. The current odds suggest that the majority of participants believe the blockade will be lifted by the specified date, but the recent drop in odds indicates some uncertainty or potentially new information affecting the market's outlook.
Odds to announce end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026, currently at 84%, down 11 points in 24 hours
The United States announcing the end of the Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026, is currently priced at 84%, a decrease of 11 points over the past 24 hours. This shift in odds may reflect changing diplomatic efforts or geopolitical developments. With a 24-hour volume of $51k, the market is actively speculating on the likelihood of this event. The current odds suggest a strong probability of the blockade ending by the specified date, but the recent decrease indicates some uncertainty or new information affecting the market's outlook.
Priced at 93% to announce end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026
The market is strongly favoring the United States announcing the end of the Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026, with current odds at 93%. Despite a 2-point decrease in the last 24 hours, the overall trend remains bullish. With $34k in 24-hour volume, traders continue to show interest in this market. Diplomatic efforts to ease tensions between the US and Iran may be a factor in the market's position, although no significant news has recently impacted the odds. The US's interactions with Iran are being closely watched, with various global events and economic factors potentially influencing the blockade's status.
Priced at 93% to end Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026
The US announcing an end to the Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026, is currently favored at 93%. Despite a 2-point drop in odds over the past 24 hours, the market remains heavily inclined towards this outcome. With $48k in 24-hour volume, the market is relatively quiet, lacking any large trades over $100k. The current stance reflects a strong expectation of the blockade's end by the specified date.
Priced at 94% to announce end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026
The US announcing the end of the Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026, is currently priced at 94%. Despite a 2-point drop in the last 24 hours, the market remains heavily in favor of the announcement happening. The 24-hour volume is $55,000, indicating moderate interest in the market. With no large trades above $100,000 in the last 24 hours, the market is relatively stable. Diplomatic efforts to ease tensions between the US and Iran may be a factor in the market's current position.
Priced at 94% to announce end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026
The US announcing the end of the Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026, is currently priced at 94%. Despite a 2-point drop in the last 24 hours, the market remains heavily in favor of the announcement happening. The 24-hour volume is $52k, indicating moderate activity. Diplomatic efforts to ease tensions between the US and Iran may be a factor in the market's position, as European stocks are expected to open higher due to these efforts. The situation in the Middle East continues to impact global markets, with fuel prices surging and drivers in the UK resorting to fuel theft.
Priced at 94% to announce end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026
The US announcing the end of the Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026, is currently priced at 94%. Despite a slight decrease in odds by 1 point over the past 24 hours, the market remains heavily in favor of the announcement happening. With $48k in 24-hour volume, the market is relatively quiet, with no large trades over $100k reported. Diplomatic efforts to ease tensions between the US and Iran may be a factor in the market's current stance. The situation is being closely watched as the US and Iran have been engaged in diplomatic talks, and any developments could impact the market's odds.
Priced at 95% to announce end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026
The US announcing the end of the Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026, is currently priced at 95%. With no large trades over $100k in the last 24 hours, the market remains stable. The 24-hour volume is $46k, and the odds have decreased by 1 point in the same period. The current price suggests a high likelihood of the blockade being lifted by the specified date.
Priced at 96% to announce end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026
The US announcing the end of the Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026, is currently priced at 96%. With no large trades over $100k in the last 24 hours and a 24h volume of $45k, the market remains steady. Diplomatic efforts to ease tensions between the US and Iran are ongoing, which may impact the blockade's status. The current price suggests a high likelihood of the blockade ending by the specified date.
Priced at 95% to announce end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026
The US announcing an end to the Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026, is currently favored at 95%. With $52k in 24-hour volume, the market reflects a strong expectation of this outcome. Diplomatic efforts to ease US-Iran tensions may be a factor in this assessment. The situation remains stable, with no large trades or significant odds movements reported in the last 24 hours.