Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.2% in July?

If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 4.2% in July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Expired 9d 23h ago
Above 4.2%38.5¢
Above 4.2%61.5¢
24h Vol$19K
Total Vol$116K
Open Interest$77K

Price History

No price history available

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Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2026 meeting? — Fed maintains rate

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YES 47%NO 54%
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Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their September 2026 meeting? — Hike 25bps

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Will average **gas prices** be above $4.060?
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Will average **gas prices** be above $4.060?

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Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their September 2026 meeting? — Cut 25bps
YES 2%NO 99%
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Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their September 2026 meeting? — Cut 25bps

VOL$35K
Australia unemployment rate in July 2026?
YES 49%NO 52%
Economics

Australia unemployment rate in July 2026?

VOL$30K
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.070?
YES 10%NO 91%
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Will average **gas prices** be above $4.080?
YES 1%NO 100%
Economics

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.080?

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Will average **gas prices** be above $4.055?
YES 100%NO 1%
Economics

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.055?

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Will average **gas prices** be above $4.065?
YES 51%NO 49%
Economics

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.065?

VOL$21K
Will CPI rise more than 0.1% in July 2026?
YES 23%NO 78%
Economics

Will CPI rise more than 0.1% in July 2026?

VOL$20K
Will the Federal Reserve hike rates by December 31, 2026?
YES 65%NO 36%
Economics

Will the Federal Reserve hike rates by December 31, 2026?

VOL$19K
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.075?
YES 2%NO 99%
Economics

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.075?

VOL$18K
Will there be a recession in 2026?
YES 7%NO 94%
Economics

Will there be a recession in 2026?

VOL$16K
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.080?
YES 1%NO 99%
Economics

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.080?

VOL$12K
Australia unemployment rate in July 2026?
YES 50%NO 50%
Economics

Australia unemployment rate in July 2026?

VOL$10K
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