Will there be a recession in 2026?

If there are two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth in 2025 or 2026, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.

167d 1h left
Starts6.5¢
Starts93.5¢
24h Vol$16K
Total Vol$3.2M
Open Interest$897K

Price History

No price history available

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2026 meeting? — Fed maintains rate
YES 53%NO 48%
Economics

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2026 meeting? — Fed maintains rate

VOL$114K
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their September 2026 meeting? — Hike 25bps
YES 47%NO 54%
Economics

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their September 2026 meeting? — Hike 25bps

VOL$46K
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.060?
YES 98%NO 3%
Economics

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.060?

VOL$35K
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their September 2026 meeting? — Cut 25bps
YES 2%NO 99%
Economics

Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their September 2026 meeting? — Cut 25bps

VOL$35K
Australia unemployment rate in July 2026?
YES 49%NO 52%
Economics

Australia unemployment rate in July 2026?

VOL$30K
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.070?
YES 10%NO 91%
Economics

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.070?

VOL$27K
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.080?
YES 1%NO 100%
Economics

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.080?

VOL$22K
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.055?
YES 100%NO 1%
Economics

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.055?

VOL$22K
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.065?
YES 51%NO 49%
Economics

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.065?

VOL$21K
Will CPI rise more than 0.1% in July 2026?
YES 23%NO 78%
Economics

Will CPI rise more than 0.1% in July 2026?

VOL$20K
Will the Federal Reserve hike rates by December 31, 2026?
YES 65%NO 36%
Economics

Will the Federal Reserve hike rates by December 31, 2026?

VOL$19K
Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.2% in July?
YES 39%NO 62%
Economics

Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.2% in July?

VOL$19K
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.075?
YES 2%NO 99%
Economics

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.075?

VOL$18K
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.080?
YES 1%NO 99%
Economics

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.080?

VOL$12K
Australia unemployment rate in July 2026?
YES 50%NO 50%
Economics

Australia unemployment rate in July 2026?

VOL$10K
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