Will Max Miller be out as U.S. representative before Nov 3, 2026?

If Max Miller leaves as U.S. representative before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

77d 16h left
Before Nov 3, 202630.5¢
Before Nov 3, 202669.5¢
24h Vol$13K
Total Vol$76K
Open Interest$35K

Price History

No price history available

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YES 90%NO 10%
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YES 6%NO 94%
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Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before October 1, 2026?
YES 25%NO 76%
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VOL$77K
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YES 22%NO 79%
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VOL$51K
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before January 1, 2027?
YES 54%NO 47%
Politics

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before January 1, 2027?

VOL$46K
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YES 19%NO 82%
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VOL$45K
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YES 95%NO 5%
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YES 44%NO 56%
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VOL$29K
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before August 15, 2026?
YES 2%NO 99%
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Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before August 15, 2026?

VOL$24K
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YES 38%NO 63%
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VOL$21K
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YES 5%NO 96%
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VOL$20K
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YES 3%NO 97%
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VOL$19K
Will Trump's first announced Attorney General pick be confirmed as Attorney General before Sep 1, 2026?
YES 82%NO 19%
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Will Trump's first announced Attorney General pick be confirmed as Attorney General before Sep 1, 2026?

VOL$15K
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YES 22%NO 79%
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VOL$14K
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YES 30%NO 71%
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VOL$14K
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YES 65%NO 36%
Politics

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before April 1, 2027?

VOL$13K
Will the US government be shut down on Oct 1, 2026?
YES 23%NO 78%
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VOL$12K
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YES 3%NO 97%
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VOL$10K
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