Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

47d 11h left
Yes8.6¢
No91.4¢
24h Vol$83K
Total Vol$9.0M
Liquidity$300K

Price History

No price history available

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summaryMarket Summary

Priced at 8% to win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election

Renan Santos is currently the underdog in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, with a 8% chance of winning. The election landscape is taking shape, with President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva recently launching his reelection bid and his lead over challenger Flávio Bolsonaro narrowing. Meanwhile, the country is dealing with various issues, including severe storms and a plane crash investigation. However, none of these events have significantly impacted Renan Santos' odds. The market volume is relatively low, with $31k traded in the last 24 hours.

Priced at 8% to win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election

Renan Santos is currently the underdog in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, with a 8% chance of winning. The election landscape is taking shape, with President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva recently launching his reelection bid and his lead over challenger Flávio Bolsonaro narrowing. Meanwhile, the country is dealing with various issues, including severe storms and economic developments. However, none of these factors have significantly impacted Santos' odds so far. The market volume is relatively low, with $34k traded in the last 24 hours.

Priced at 8% to win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election

Renan Santos is currently the underdog in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, with a 8% chance of winning. The election landscape is taking shape, with President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva recently launching his reelection bid and his lead over challenger Flávio Bolsonaro narrowing. Meanwhile, the country is dealing with various issues, including severe storms and economic developments. However, none of these factors have significantly impacted Santos' odds, which remain steady at 8%. Trading volume has been moderate, with $28k in 24-hour volume.

Priced at 8% to win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election

Renan Santos is currently the underdog in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, with a 8% chance of winning. The election is still ongoing, with President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva recently launching his reelection bid. Lula's lead over right-wing challenger Flávio Bolsonaro has narrowed ahead of the October election, according to a new poll. The Brazilian market has seen some fluctuations, with the country's oil output reaching a record high in June and iron ore exports slowing down in 2026.

Priced at 8% to win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election

Renan Santos is currently the underdog in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, with a 8% chance of winning. The election landscape is taking shape, with President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva recently launching his reelection bid and his lead over challenger Flávio Bolsonaro narrowing. Meanwhile, the country is dealing with various issues, including severe storms and a plane crash investigation. However, these events do not seem to be directly impacting Santos' odds at this time. Trading volume has been moderate, with $37k in 24-hour volume.

Priced at 8% to win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election

Renan Santos is currently the underdog in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, with a 8% chance of winning. The election landscape is taking shape, with President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva recently launching his reelection bid and his lead over challenger Flávio Bolsonaro narrowing. Brazil's political scene is heating up ahead of the October election. The country's economic and social issues, such as oil production and foreign bond sales, may influence the election outcome.

Priced at 8% to win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election

Renan Santos is currently the underdog in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, with a 8% chance of winning. The odds have seen a slight increase of 1 percentage point in the last 24 hours, with a total volume of $59k traded in the same period. The election landscape in Brazil is taking shape, with President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva recently launching his reelection bid and his lead over challenger Flávio Bolsonaro narrowing. However, Renan Santos' position remains distant from the front-runners.

8 days ago

Odds to win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election stand at 8% for Renan Santos

Renan Santos is currently priced at 8% to win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, with a 24-hour volume of $58k. The odds have seen a slight increase of 1 percentage point over the past day. Meanwhile, the Brazilian political landscape is taking shape, with President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva recently launching his reelection bid and his lead over challenger Flávio Bolsonaro narrowing in the polls. However, Renan Santos' chances remain relatively low, with the market favoring other candidates at this point.

8 days ago

Priced at 7% to win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election

Renan Santos is currently the underdog in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, with a 7% chance of winning. The market has seen a modest $56k in volume over the past 24 hours, but no large trades have been made. Meanwhile, Brazil's political landscape is taking shape, with President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva launching his reelection bid and his lead over challenger Flávio Bolsonaro narrowing. However, none of these developments have significantly impacted Santos' odds.

Priced at 8% to win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election

Renan Santos is currently the underdog in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, with a 8% chance of winning. The market has seen a moderate volume of $113k in the last 24 hours, but no large trades above $100k have been made. The current political landscape in Brazil is focused on the upcoming election, with President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's advantage over right-wing challenger Flávio Bolsonaro narrowing. However, Renan Santos' chances remain low, and the market reflects this.

9 days ago
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