Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open?

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

5d 10h left
Yes2.7¢
No97.4¢
24h Vol$27K
Total Vol$403K
Liquidity$101K

Price History

No price history available

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summaryMarket Summary

A trader bought $101k of YES at 94% an hour ago

Daniil Medvedev's US Open campaign has been halted by Frances Tiafoe, who topped the former champion in straight sets on Sunday. Despite this, a significant trade of $101k was made in favor of Medvedev winning the tournament at 94% odds. The 24-hour volume for this market stands at $293k, indicating ongoing interest in the outcome. Medvedev's loss to Tiafoe marks a significant setback in his bid to win the US Open.

6 hours ago

A trader bought $101k of YES at 94% an hour ago

Daniil Medvedev's chances of winning the 2026 Men's US Open have been impacted by his recent loss to Frances Tiafoe in straight sets. Despite this, a significant trade of $101k was made in favor of Medvedev at 94% odds. The market has seen $293k in volume over the past 24 hours, indicating ongoing interest in the outcome. Medvedev's loss to Tiafoe marks a notable shift in his tournament trajectory.

7 hours ago

A trader bought $101k of YES at 94% an hour ago

Daniil Medvedev's US Open campaign has been halted by Frances Tiafoe, who topped the former champion in straight sets on Sunday. Despite this, a significant trade of $101k was placed on Medvedev to win the tournament at 94% odds just an hour ago. The 24-hour volume for this market stands at $293k, indicating ongoing interest in the outcome. Medvedev's loss to Tiafoe has likely shifted the odds, but the current standing is not available.

9 hours ago

Daniil Medvedev's US Open title odds plummet to 0% after loss to Tiafoe

Daniil Medvedev's bid for the 2026 US Open title has ended with a straight-set loss to Frances Tiafoe, causing his odds to win the tournament to drop to 0%. Medvedev had previously won six of seven matches against Tiafoe, including a straight-set victory in the same round of the 2020 US Open. The loss has effectively eliminated Medvedev from contention, with his odds now reflecting his exit from the tournament. Despite a notable trade of $101k buying YES at 94% earlier, the market has rapidly adjusted to Medvedev's departure, with $293k in volume traded over the past 24 hours.

10 hours ago

Odds to win the 2026 Men's US Open for Daniil Medvedev dropped to 0%

Daniil Medvedev's US Open campaign has ended after he was defeated by Frances Tiafoe in straight sets. Medvedev, a former US Open champion, had won six of their seven previous matches, but was unable to overcome the American this time. The market now reflects Medvedev's elimination, with his odds to win the tournament at 0%. Despite a large trade of $101k buying YES at 94% earlier, the overall volume of $293k in the last 24 hours has not been enough to change the outcome.

11 hours ago

Daniil Medvedev's US Open run ended with a loss to Frances Tiafoe in straight sets

Daniil Medvedev's bid for the 2026 US Open title has been halted by Frances Tiafoe, who defeated him in straight sets to advance to the quarter-finals. Medvedev, a former US Open champion, had won six of their seven previous matches, but was unable to overcome the American this time. As a result, Medvedev's odds of winning the tournament have dropped to 0%. The market has seen a notable trade, with $101k bought at 94% odds, but this is now essentially a lost bet. The 24-hour volume stands at $293k, with the odds having fallen 6 points over the same period.

12 hours ago

Odds to win the 2026 Men's US Open for Daniil Medvedev are at 0%

Daniil Medvedev has advanced to the second week of the US Open without dropping a set, getting broken just once. His current odds to win the tournament are at 0%. Medvedev had a manageable draw to start the tournament, but his third-round match against Arthur Rinderknech was a crucial test. The Russian player's performance so far indicates a strong run in the tournament, despite his current odds. With a 24-hour volume of $293k, interest in Medvedev's chances remains high.

13 hours ago

Daniil Medvedev is priced at 2% to win the 2026 Men's US Open

Daniil Medvedev has advanced to the second week of the US Open without dropping a set, getting broken just once. His current odds to win the tournament are 2%, down 4 points over the past 24 hours, with $247k in volume traded. A notable trade of $101k was made to buy YES at 94% odds, but this was likely an error given the current odds. Medvedev's performance so far suggests he is a strong contender, but the market remains skeptical of his chances.

14 hours ago

Daniil Medvedev's odds to win the 2026 Men's US Open are at 4%

Daniil Medvedev is through to the second week of the US Open without dropping a set, getting broken just once, and is currently priced at 4% to win the tournament. His manageable draw has helped him advance, but he still faces tough competition. The Russian player's performance has been notable, and he will look to continue his success in the upcoming rounds. The market volume is $238k in the last 24 hours, indicating some interest in the outcome.

15 hours ago

Odds to win the 2026 Men's US Open for Daniil Medvedev jumped +2 pts to 8%

Daniil Medvedev is through to the second week of the US Open without dropping a set, getting broken just once, and his odds to win the tournament have increased by 2 percentage points to 8% in the last 24 hours. With a manageable draw to start the tournament, Medvedev's performance has been notable, particularly in his third-round match against Arthur Rinderknech. The current odds reflect his progress in the tournament, with $74k in volume traded in the last 24 hours.

16 hours ago
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