Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?

<p>This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".</p><p>A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.</p><p>An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.</p><p>The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.</p>

136d 16h left
Yes56.7¢
No43.4¢
Total Vol$2K

Price History

No price history available

Anthropic acquired before 2027?
YES 4%NO 96%
Company News

Anthropic acquired before 2027?

VOL$3K
Above $120B
YES 51%NO 49%
Company News

Above $120B

VOL$10K
$120B-$100B
YES 49%NO 52%
Company News

$120B-$100B

VOL$10K
$100B-$91.5B
YES 11%NO 90%
Company News

$100B-$91.5B

VOL$25K
$80B-$60B
YES 2%NO 98%
Company News

$80B-$60B

VOL$14K
Below $60B
YES 2%NO 98%
Company News

Below $60B

VOL$1K
No funding round
YES 49%NO 51%
Company News

No funding round

VOL$4K
summaryMarket Summary

Odds to be acquired jumped +4 pts to 17%

Stripe has made a $53 billion bid to acquire PayPal, driving a 17% surge in PayPal's stock price. The acquisition would give Stripe access to a massive consumer base and expand its presence in the digital payments market. With a current odds of 17% to be acquired, the market is pricing in a potential takeover. The bid is seen as a high-stakes play to own the future of digital payments, with the real prize being consumer wallets, stablecoin issuance, or the infrastructure powering the next generation of digital payments.

Odds to acquire PayPal in 2026 rose +1 pt to 17%

Stripe has made a $53 billion bid to acquire PayPal, a move that could significantly expand its presence in the digital payments space. The acquisition would give Stripe access to a massive consumer base, including Venmo users. PayPal's stock surged 17% on the news, and the company is currently reviewing the offer with advisers. The market prices the acquisition at 17%, indicating some skepticism about the deal's prospects.

Odds to acquire PayPal in 2026 rose +2 pts to 16%

Stripe has made a $53 billion bid to acquire PayPal, a move that could significantly impact the digital payments landscape. PayPal's stock surged 17% on the news, with the company's board reportedly viewing the offer as inadequate. The acquisition would give Stripe access to a massive consumer base and potentially expand its presence in the payments industry. With a current probability of 16%, the market is closely watching the developments of this potential takeover.

Odds to acquire PayPal jumped +32 pts to 50%

Stripe's $53 billion bid for PayPal has sent the digital payments company's stock surging, with the market now pricing a 50% chance of an acquisition in 2026. The bid, made in partnership with Advent International, values PayPal at $60.50 per share and has been deemed inadequate by PayPal's board. The potential acquisition would give Stripe access to a massive consumer base and expand its presence in the digital payments space.

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