US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

<p>This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US government holds any amount of Bitcoin in its reserves at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".</p><p>Note that the US government confiscating Bitcoin does not count as holding Bitcoin reserves.</p><p>The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and/or the US federal reserve, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.</p>

136d 16h left
Yes16.8¢
No83.3¢
Total Vol$5K

Price History

No price history available

December 31, 2026
YES 19%NO 81%
Crypto

December 31, 2026

VOL$1K
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?
YES 7%NO 93%
Crypto

Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?

VOL$2K
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?
YES 7%NO 93%
Crypto

US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?

VOL$2K
September 30, 2026
YES 2%NO 98%
Crypto

September 30, 2026

VOL$9K
December 31, 2026
YES 5%NO 96%
Crypto

December 31, 2026

VOL$1K
September 30, 2026
YES 8%NO 92%
Crypto

September 30, 2026

VOL$1K
summaryMarket Summary

Priced at 16% to have a US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027

The US currently has a Bitcoin reserve, but the amount is unclear. The Strategic Bitcoin Reserve was created by an executive order in 2025, but there is no consensus on the size of the reserve. The market is pricing the likelihood of a US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027 at 16%. Recent news has focused on the US economy and Bitcoin market, with a surprise drop in US payrolls and renewed institutional demand for Bitcoin.

7 days ago

Priced at 16% to have a US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027

The US currently has a Bitcoin reserve, but the exact amount is unclear. The Strategic Bitcoin Reserve was created by an executive order in 2025, but there is no consensus on the size of the reserve. The market is pricing the likelihood of a US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027 at 16%. Recent news has focused on the US economy and Bitcoin market, with spot Bitcoin ETFs seeing significant inflows and Bitcoin's price potentially facing a breakout or drop due to macro forces.

Priced at 15% to establish a national Bitcoin reserve before 2027

The US currently has a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, but the amount owned is unclear. The reserve was created by an executive order signed by President Donald Trump in 2025. The market is pricing the likelihood of a national Bitcoin reserve at 15%. Recent news on Bitcoin includes a potential price breakout or drop due to rising tensions and inflationary pressures. The US economy remains resilient despite weak jobs data, with continued hiring in construction and healthcare, and investment in AI.

Priced at 15% to have a national Bitcoin reserve before 2027

The US currently has a 15% chance of establishing a national Bitcoin reserve before 2027. The market remains steady with no significant changes in odds or large trades over $100k in the last 24 hours. The US has explored the concept of a Bitcoin reserve, with President Donald Trump signing an executive order creating the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve in 2025, but the exact amount owned is unclear. The US spot Bitcoin ETFs have seen significant inflows, with $1B in the past week, indicating renewed institutional demand.

Priced at 16% to establish a national Bitcoin reserve before 2027

The US currently has a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, but the amount owned is unclear. The reserve was established by an executive order signed by President Donald Trump in 2025. The market is pricing the likelihood of a national Bitcoin reserve at 16%. Recent news has focused on the US economy and Bitcoin market, with a surprise drop in US payrolls and renewed worries about the job market. Institutional demand for Bitcoin has shown signs of renewed momentum, with US spot Bitcoin ETFs posting their best week since April with $1B inflows.

Priced at 16% to have a US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027

The US currently has a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, established by an executive order in 2025, but the exact amount of Bitcoin it holds is unclear. The reserve was created to stop the government from selling Bitcoin and potentially add more without using taxpayer funds. The market is currently pricing the likelihood of the US having a national Bitcoin reserve before 2027 at 16%. Recent news has focused on the growth of Bitcoin, with spot Bitcoin ETFs seeing $1B inflows in the past week, but there has been no significant movement in the odds of a national reserve being established. The US economy remains resilient despite weak jobs data, with investment in AI and construction hiring showing signs of renewed momentum.

Priced at 15% to have a national Bitcoin reserve before 2027

The US currently has a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, established by an executive order in 2025, but the exact amount of Bitcoin it holds is unclear. The reserve was created to stop the government from selling Bitcoin and potentially add more without using taxpayer funds. The price of having a national Bitcoin reserve before 2027 is currently at 15%. Recent news has focused on the growth of Bitcoin, with spot Bitcoin ETFs posting their best week since April with $1B inflows, but there has been no significant movement in the odds of the US having a national Bitcoin reserve before 2027.

Priced at 16% to have a US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027

The US currently has a Bitcoin reserve, but the amount owned is unclear. The Strategic Bitcoin Reserve was created by an executive order in 2025, but there is no consensus on the reserve's size. The market is pricing the likelihood of a US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027 at 16%. Recent news has focused on the US economy and Bitcoin market, with a surprise drop in US payrolls and a potential $1.5B North Korea hack, but these events have not significantly impacted the odds of a national Bitcoin reserve.

8 days ago

Priced at 16% to have a national Bitcoin reserve before 2027

The US currently has a Bitcoin reserve, but the exact amount is unclear, with the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve established by executive order in 2025. The reserve's size is unknown, and there is no clear indication of whether it will be expanded. The current odds of the US having a national Bitcoin reserve before 2027 are 16%. Recent news has focused on the US economy and Bitcoin market, with a surprise drop in US payrolls and renewed worries about the job market, as well as a potential $70,000 breakout or $60,000 drop in Bitcoin's price due to rising tensions in the Strait of Hormuz.

8 days ago

Priced at 16% to have a US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027

The US currently has a Bitcoin reserve, but the amount owned is unclear. The Strategic Bitcoin Reserve was created by an executive order in 2025, but the exact holdings are not publicly known. The market is pricing the likelihood of a US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027 at 16%. Recent news has focused on the US economy and Bitcoin market, with a surprise drop in US payrolls and renewed worries about the job market. Institutional demand for Bitcoin has shown signs of renewed momentum, with US spot Bitcoin ETFs posting their best week since April with $1B inflows.

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