Will the margin of victory for Francesca Hong in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary be at least 15%? — Francesca Hong, ≥15%

If the margin of victory for Francesca Hong in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 15% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

359d 1h left
Francesca Hong, ≥15%42¢
Francesca Hong, ≥15%58¢
24h Vol$21K
Total Vol$45K
Open Interest$28K

Price History

No price history available

Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be above 15%? — Abdul El-Sayed, ≥15%
YES 1%NO 100%
Elections

Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be above 15%? — Abdul El-Sayed, ≥15%

VOL$1.0M
Will the margin of victory for Haley Stevens in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 0% and 3%? — Haley Stevens, 0-3%
YES 1%NO 100%
Elections

Will the margin of victory for Haley Stevens in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 0% and 3%? — Haley Stevens, 0-3%

VOL$578K
Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 3% and 6%? — Abdul El-Sayed, 3-6%
YES 1%NO 100%
Elections

Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 3% and 6%? — Abdul El-Sayed, 3-6%

VOL$549K
Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 0% and 3%? — Abdul El-Sayed, 0-3%
YES 100%NO 1%
Elections

Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 0% and 3%? — Abdul El-Sayed, 0-3%

VOL$481K
Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 6% and 9%? — Abdul El-Sayed, 6-9%
YES 1%NO 100%
Elections

Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 6% and 9%? — Abdul El-Sayed, 6-9%

VOL$473K
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Governor in Florida? — James Fishback
YES 2%NO 98%
Elections

Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Governor in Florida? — James Fishback

VOL$349K
Will Tucker Carlson be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? — Tucker Carlson
YES 3%NO 97%
Elections

Will Tucker Carlson be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? — Tucker Carlson

VOL$297K
Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 12% and 15%? — Abdul El-Sayed, 12-15%
YES 1%NO 100%
Elections

Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 12% and 15%? — Abdul El-Sayed, 12-15%

VOL$278K
Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Governor in Florida? — Jay Collins
YES 0%NO 100%
Elections

Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Governor in Florida? — Jay Collins

VOL$255K
Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 9% and 12%? — Abdul El-Sayed, 9-12%
YES 1%NO 100%
Elections

Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 9% and 12%? — Abdul El-Sayed, 9-12%

VOL$248K
Will Francesca Hong be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Wisconsin? — Francesca Hong
YES 90%NO 10%
Elections

Will Francesca Hong be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Wisconsin? — Francesca Hong

VOL$206K
Who will win the next presidential election? — Tucker Carlson
YES 2%NO 98%
Elections

Who will win the next presidential election? — Tucker Carlson

VOL$184K
Will David Crowley be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Wisconsin? — David Crowley
YES 10%NO 90%
Elections

Will David Crowley be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Wisconsin? — David Crowley

VOL$176K
Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election? — Nithya Raman
YES 36%NO 65%
Elections

Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election? — Nithya Raman

VOL$163K
Will Zohran Mamdani be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? — Zohran Mamdani
YES 0%NO 100%
Elections

Will Zohran Mamdani be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? — Zohran Mamdani

VOL$151K
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Michigan? — Mike Rogers
YES 42%NO 59%
Elections

Will Republicans win the Senate race in Michigan? — Mike Rogers

VOL$143K
Who will win the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? — Darline Graham
YES 59%NO 42%
Elections

Who will win the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? — Darline Graham

VOL$134K
Will Josh Shapiro be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? — Josh Shapiro
YES 4%NO 96%
Elections

Will Josh Shapiro be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? — Josh Shapiro

VOL$130K
Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election? — Karen Bass
YES 65%NO 36%
Elections

Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election? — Karen Bass

VOL$127K
Will Haley Stevens finish 2nd in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary? — Haley Stevens
YES 100%NO 1%
Elections

Will Haley Stevens finish 2nd in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary? — Haley Stevens

VOL$123K
Will House Control be Democratic AND Senate Control be Democratic for Feb 2027? — D-House, D-Senate
YES 43%NO 57%
Elections

Will House Control be Democratic AND Senate Control be Democratic for Feb 2027? — D-House, D-Senate

VOL$120K
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Governor in Florida? — Byron Donalds
YES 98%NO 2%
Elections

Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Governor in Florida? — Byron Donalds

VOL$107K
Will the margin of victory for Haley Stevens in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 3% and 6%? — Haley Stevens, 3-6%
YES 1%NO 100%
Elections

Will the margin of victory for Haley Stevens in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 3% and 6%? — Haley Stevens, 3-6%

VOL$100K
Will Abdul El-Sayed finish 2nd in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary? — Abdul El-Sayed
YES 1%NO 100%
Elections

Will Abdul El-Sayed finish 2nd in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary? — Abdul El-Sayed

VOL$89K
Will Republicans win the House in 2026? — Republican Party
YES 17%NO 84%
Elections

Will Republicans win the House in 2026? — Republican Party

VOL$89K
Will Jon Ossoff be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? — Jon Ossoff
YES 15%NO 86%
Elections

Will Jon Ossoff be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? — Jon Ossoff

VOL$82K
Who will win the 2026 Michigan Senate race? — Abdul El-Sayed
YES 57%NO 43%
Elections

Who will win the 2026 Michigan Senate race? — Abdul El-Sayed

VOL$71K
Who will win the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? — Mark Sanford
YES 3%NO 98%
Elections

Who will win the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? — Mark Sanford

VOL$64K
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Michigan? — Abdul El-Sayed
YES 59%NO 42%
Elections

Will Democratics win the Senate race in Michigan? — Abdul El-Sayed

VOL$62K
Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? — Gavin Newsom
YES 17%NO 84%
Elections

Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? — Gavin Newsom

VOL$61K
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